RollForge
📊 Free Business Tool

Margin variance is the
hidden EBITDA lever in your businesses

Enter each trade business you operate. Get margin spread, weighted average, standard deviation — and the exact EBITDA uplift if your weakest businesses hit your median. No spreadsheet required.

1
Enter your businesses
3–10 rows · Use TTM revenue and last full-year gross margin %
Business Name Trade Revenue (TTM) Gross Margin % Locations
Margin Spread
—
best vs. worst
Wtd Avg Gross Margin
—
revenue-weighted
Std Deviation
—
margin consistency signal
EBITDA Uplift Potential
—
bottom quartile → median
📈 Gross Margin % by Business — vs. All-Business Median
🏢 Per-Business Breakdown
Business Trade Revenue Gross Margin Est. EBITDA EBITDA % Quartile EBITDA Gap
🔢 All-Business Summary
Total business revenue —
Total EBITDA (est.) —
Best gross margin —
Worst gross margin —
Revenue-weighted avg gross margin —
Unweighted avg gross margin —
Standard deviation of gross margin —
EBITDA uplift if bottom-quartile businesses hit your median —
Track margin across your businesses automatically

Track margin variance automatically
across all your businesses

RollForge connects to each business's accounting data and surfaces margin drift, EBITDA attribution, and outlier alerts — automatically, every week. No quarterly spreadsheet refresh.

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Why margin variance matters more than average margin across your businesses

When owners run business-level gross margin analysis, the average hides the story. A set of four businesses at 38% margin and two at 18% margin has an "average" of 32% — but the two outliers represent concentrated EBITDA risk and the highest-ROI margin recovery opportunity in your lineup.

8–14%
Typical gross margin spread across a small set of trade businesses
2–4×
EBITDA improvement from moving one business from bottom to median quartile
90 days
Typical time to close a 2–3 point margin gap with focused dispatch + pricing ops

What drives margin variance across your businesses

In a steady set of HVAC, plumbing, or electrical businesses, gross margin variance between businesses almost always traces back to four root causes: (1) pricing discipline — the best-margin businesses have flat-rate pricing books with fewer tech-discretion discounts; (2) callback rate — every callback is a zero-revenue slot occupying a billable tech; (3) parts markup consistency — some businesses buy retail and mark up 10–15%, others have negotiated distributor pricing at 50–60% markup; (4) labor efficiency — measured as revenue per tech-day, not just billable utilization.

The owner's job is to rank-order the variance drivers, build a standardization roadmap for the bottom-quartile businesses, and track progress on a short cadence (weekly, not quarterly). The tools that automate this tracking pay for themselves in the first quarter.

What "weighted average" means and why it matters

Unweighted average gross margin treats a $3M business and a $30M business as equal contributors. Revenue-weighted average weights each business by its share of consolidated revenue — so a 32% business at $30M revenue moves the weighted average 10× more than a 28% business at $3M revenue. The weighted average is what gets defended in a valuation conversation. The standard deviation tells you how defensible it is.

EBITDA uplift methodology

This tool estimates EBITDA uplift by identifying businesses in the bottom quartile of gross margin (below the revenue-weighted all-business median) and calculating the incremental EBITDA if those businesses achieved the all-business median gross margin on their current revenue base. EBITDA is estimated using a standard blended SG&A/overhead multiplier of 18–22% of revenue (configurable in the calculation). This is a planning-level estimate — actual uplift depends on execution against the operational plan.